Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001804 0.001884 0.001967 0.002060 0.002163 0.002271 0.002397
2025-06-01 0.001651 0.001762 0.001882 0.002022 0.002184 0.002367 0.002592
2025-06-08 0.001580 0.001715 0.001866 0.002051 0.002274 0.002540 0.002888
2025-06-15 0.001517 0.001669 0.001844 0.002065 0.002342 0.002688 0.003170
2025-06-22 0.001449 0.001609 0.001799 0.002043 0.002360 0.002771 0.003374
2025-06-29 0.001386 0.001552 0.001750 0.002011 0.002359 0.002825 0.003541
2025-07-06 0.001340 0.001511 0.001719 0.001998 0.002378 0.002905 0.003754
2025-07-13 0.001273 0.001441 0.001646 0.001925 0.002310 0.002853 0.003753
2025-07-20 0.001240 0.001412 0.001625 0.001917 0.002330 0.002930 0.003971
2025-07-27 0.001220 0.001397 0.001619 0.001930 0.002379 0.003054 0.004288
2025-08-03 0.001190 0.001369 0.001595 0.001916 0.002388 0.003114 0.004500
2025-08-10 0.001174 0.001358 0.001593 0.001932 0.002440 0.003250 0.004887
2025-08-17 0.001150 0.001335 0.001575 0.001924 0.002458 0.003333 0.005196
2025-08-24 0.001121 0.001306 0.001547 0.001901 0.002451 0.003372 0.005418
2025-08-31 0.001112 0.001303 0.001555 0.001931 0.002530 0.003574 0.006091
2025-09-07 0.001099 0.001293 0.001552 0.001945 0.002583 0.003737 0.006739
2025-09-14 0.001076 0.001270 0.001529 0.001927 0.002580 0.003789 0.007100
2025-09-21 0.001051 0.001243 0.001501 0.001898 0.002559 0.003801 0.007345
2025-09-28 0.001033 0.001224 0.001483 0.001886 0.002564 0.003869 0.007807
2025-10-05 0.000998 0.001183 0.001433 0.001821 0.002472 0.003722 0.007462
2025-10-12 0.000984 0.001169 0.001420 0.001814 0.002484 0.003800 0.007977
2025-10-19 0.000975 0.001163 0.001420 0.001826 0.002529 0.003956 0.008904
2025-10-26 0.000960 0.001147 0.001404 0.001813 0.002529 0.004010 0.009447